Poker Bill Stalled
Card Player reported recently that the Frank bill will not go to committee this month — apparently the House of Representatives is working on a few other issues at the moment. The PPA is now focusing on their secondary strategy of pushing the that was introduced a while back that will delay the enforcement of the UIGEA from December 2009 until December 2010. Well, December is right around the corner, and seeing how easily the House can become gridlocked, there is no time to waste.
Come on House, Chop Chop
John Pappas stated in the Card Player article that he hopes that if there were some small changes to the bill to appease the opposition that it could get passed without going to committee. I am skeptical. The opposition to the bill is coming from Republicans and I think (as the current trend is proving) that they have no interest in passing any sort of legislation that smells liberal. In that sense, online poker is pretty stinky. The Republican party is in a struggle to regain their identity and they see the best way of doing that is putting a stake in the ground for the issues that they believe in. However, I believe that this opposition will expose more cracks in the Republican position because it is what has gotten them in trouble in the first place: too much pandering and appeasing to the religious right. Fortunately, the democrats have majority, but nearly every one will have to vote in favor for it to pass.
We are running out of time. The bill first has to pass the House cleanly with no major revisions or concessions, then has to pass the Senate and finally put in front of the President. This all has to be done in the next 2.5 months. Banks are already implementing policies that will make online poker transactions even more difficult. The cat and mouse game between the banks and the poker rooms will intensify. The banks have billions of transactions per day that need to be monitored and have no financial incentive. The poker rooms have plenty financial incentive in that they will be out of business. My money is on the poker rooms.